Answering Why Political Candidates Win or Lose
In the recent primary, Oscar Ugarte decisively defeated Bobby Flores to secure the Democratic nomination for El Paso County Sheriff. This race was filled with significant drama, much of it centered around Ugarte’s divorce—a topic thrust into the spotlight as retaliation for what was perceived as an “attack article” by El Paso Matters. While any […]
The candidate announcement we all saw coming finally dropped yesterday: City Rep Brian Kennedy is running for mayor. Some of us had this pegged back in 2022 when he was still vying for a city council seat. I’ve never met the guy, but it’s clear he’s the front-runner in this election, regardless of which consultants […]
One of the worst mistakes new candidates make is entering their race completely unprepared. I mean, what is to prepare for? You just have to get a bunch of signs, and make some facebook posts, right? Lol. Once a person has decided to run for office the first thing they should work on is assembling […]
Today is Election Day, so I thought it would be fun to share the results of my exit poll, as well as some campaign finance numbers. Exit Poll: Mayor of El Paso 87 Respondents Oscar Leeser 69% Dee Margo 31% District 2 77 Respondents Judy Gutierrez 42% Alexsandra Annello 58% District 4 76 […]
Here is a quick look at all the contributions, expenditures, and how much money each campaign has left for the mayoral and city council candidates. Maybe if I am feeling cute I will do an expenditure breakdown on these races. Mayoral Candidates Contributions(7/1-9/24) Expenditures(7/1-9/24) Money in Bank Calvin Zielsdorf $666.50 $1,561.98 $0 Oscar Leeser $60,528 […]
Campaign finance reports are due today, and of course we will all be taking a look at them in the next few days. But before expenditures are made public, I wanted to post a prediction on the Mayoral race that is based on the theory of Name ID being by far the most influential factor […]
County Commissioner #3 was for sure the most interesting race for local politicos to keep their eye on this year, and it ended up having the most noteworthy upset of the 2020 Primary season. There was a lot of drama in this one, involving backstabbing and betrayal, but I will let you all go to […]
Yesterday finance reports were due, so I thought I would list all the totals for the races on the ballot so you all can see it all one please. There will be breakdowns of the DA race and of the County Commissioner #3. However, as of 12pm El Paso County Elections Department has not released […]
Here is the breakdown for the first week of Early Voting. This only includes the data made available by Election’s Dept on their website as of July 6th, 2020 12pm. Here is the Day 1 breakdown, (with ALL the voters): Total Democrats 12,179 Total Republicans 2,149 Democratic Breakdown Day 1 […]
Yesterday I reported that 1,710 Democrats had voted so far after Day 1 of Early Voting was complete. But it turns out there were 6,420 voters on the Democratic side of the Runoff. So what happened? Elections Dept does two things when reporting Early Voting on their website. One is giving total numbers in a […]